The top image shows the final results of the recent U.S. presidential election, won by Trump with a score of 312 to 226. Remarkably, no human could predict this outcome—not experts, super-forecasters, exit polls, prediction markets, nor even psychics. But the AI model ChatGPT-4o did, as shown in the bottom image, where it accurately forecasted a 309 to 229 outcome back in September at Wuhan University (yes, once again China and once again Wuhan).
The precision of this prediction is rooted in an extraordinary foundation. Instead of relying on real human opinions, the AI analyzed simulated “social replicas.” Two years ago, a breakthrough technology emerged, enabling the creation of algorithmic replicas of any social group. Astonishingly, these algorithms proved indistinguishable from real people in surveys. This discovery, sitting at the intersection of natural language processing, cognitive science, and sociology, offers enormous potential for social hacking.
In 2023, this technology evolved to create algorithmic replicas of citizens from any nation. While still far from achieving AGI, these systems now simulate the collective unconscious of entire societies. From this, I formulated two key hypotheses:
✔️ A paradigm shift transforming psychohistory into a practical science—one akin to Asimov’s fictional discipline that mathematically examines societal processes to accurately forecast the future.
✔️ A cultural phase shift ushering in a new era: algocognitive culture.
Now, just three months later—at a pace unimaginable before the age of technological singularity—researchers in Wuhan have provided experimental support that these hypotheses are not mere futurist speculation; they may indeed reflect reality.
In other words, it’s likely that our world has already undergone a profound transformation. The roles of humans and algorithms in science, culture, individual lives, and the “algorithmically enriched societies” of today will never be the same. What’s next? Let’s find out!
#AIRevolution #CognitiveScience #FutureSociety
#science
The precision of this prediction is rooted in an extraordinary foundation. Instead of relying on real human opinions, the AI analyzed simulated “social replicas.” Two years ago, a breakthrough technology emerged, enabling the creation of algorithmic replicas of any social group. Astonishingly, these algorithms proved indistinguishable from real people in surveys. This discovery, sitting at the intersection of natural language processing, cognitive science, and sociology, offers enormous potential for social hacking.
In 2023, this technology evolved to create algorithmic replicas of citizens from any nation. While still far from achieving AGI, these systems now simulate the collective unconscious of entire societies. From this, I formulated two key hypotheses:
✔️ A paradigm shift transforming psychohistory into a practical science—one akin to Asimov’s fictional discipline that mathematically examines societal processes to accurately forecast the future.
✔️ A cultural phase shift ushering in a new era: algocognitive culture.
Now, just three months later—at a pace unimaginable before the age of technological singularity—researchers in Wuhan have provided experimental support that these hypotheses are not mere futurist speculation; they may indeed reflect reality.
In other words, it’s likely that our world has already undergone a profound transformation. The roles of humans and algorithms in science, culture, individual lives, and the “algorithmically enriched societies” of today will never be the same. What’s next? Let’s find out!
#AIRevolution #CognitiveScience #FutureSociety
#science